DAILY KOS gets Public Policy Polling to do the numbers. Markos does the analysis:
At a time when other polls are moving back in the president’s direction, our own weekly poll by Public Policy Polling saw the opposite—a two-point Romney gain. Per day:
Friday (38%) Obama 47, Romney 49
Saturday (39%) Obama 49, Romney 47
Sunday (24%) Obama 43, Romney 55
[...] Finally, a demographic note—in this poll, 44 percent of respondents were conservative, compared to 16 percent who were liberal. In 2008, 34 percent were conservative, and 22 percent were liberal. Now this could point to a bad sample, or it could point to depressed enthusiasm among our base. Let’s really hope it’s the former.
In rural “swing counties, it’s a landslide for Romney, according to NPR.
It’s the Quinnipiac poll that is a stunner.
Gov. Mitt Romney has narrowed a 12-point gap with President Barack Obama and now trails the president 50 – 46 percent among Pennsylvania likely voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
No political analyst expects Romney to win in Pennsylvania, but it’s the movement that has to worry Team Obama.
There is simply too much evidence now to question whether or not the first debate caused a significant shift in the dynamics of the presidential race. It did.
But as I’ve written before, “volatility” is the name of this game. As fast as it swung Romney’s way, tonight’s Town Hall could produce another swing or even a solidifying behind Mitt Romney.
All President Obama can hope to do is stop the chatter, because the biggest thing hurting him right now is the feel of the race, which is seen to be moving in Romney’s direction.
It’s hard to underestimate the importance of tonight’s town hall, which actually isn’t conducive to either candidate getting a knock out blow.
However, since it’s Mitt Romney who is perceived as being so bad at relating to people, the format could actually play into what Romney needs to do.
If President Obama hangs Romney’s Etch-a-Sketch candidacy around his neck, he’d better do it with a smile and a very deft touch.