TM Connect

Donate Now
Use "My TM" for log in & register.

Just Days Before Tampa, Obama Leads Romney 48% to 44%

After Mitt Romney selected his vice presidential running mate, and just days before the political conventions kick off next week, President Barack Obama maintains his advantage in the race for the White House, according to the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll. A Democratic ticket featuring Obama and Vice President Joe Biden gets support from 48 percent of registered voters, and a Republican ticket of Romney and new running mate Paul Ryan gets 44 percent. – NBC/WSJ poll: Heading into conventions, Obama has four-point lead

EVERYONE KNOWS IT and are waiting for it. Mitt Romney needs a baffo convention speech and an electric send off, because the very next week Barack Obama is up and then the opportunities narrow, with the debates looming next.

As the NBC/WSJ reports, Romney has to do two things: repair his image and solidify the ground under the Paul Ryan medicare approach Mitt Romney has endorsed, because without both the Republicans will lose. However, tucked into the poll is some very good news for Romney:

When voters are given a description of the Romney-Ryan plan – that future seniors would receive a guaranteed payment that some call a voucher, and that these seniors could use it to purchase either private insurance or to have access in the traditional Medicare program – twice as many call it a bad idea (30 percent) versus good idea (15 percent). However, 51 percent of voters said they have no opinion.

Oh, and Mark Halperin is wrong, again. New data confirms what I’ve been writing for some time.

What’s more, Obama bests Romney by 35 points (58 percent to 23 percent) on the question of which candidate is more likeable, and by 22 points (52 percent to 30 percent) on caring about average people. [...] And by a 36 percent to 6 percent difference, voters say what they have seen, heard and read about Romney’s tax returns – he has refused to release returns prior to 2010 – has given them a more negative impression of the Republican candidate.

Reports this week also reveal that Mitt Romney’s Mormonism will be highlighted at the convention.

The festivities are on view for the wider public Monday night.

About Taylor Marsh

Veteran political analyst and author. Former Miss Missouri, Broadway performer, & relationship consultant at the LA Weekly, produced a one-woman show titled "Weeping for JFK."

, , , , , , , , , ,

24 Responses to Just Days Before Tampa, Obama Leads Romney 48% to 44%

  1. Ga6thDem August 22, 2012 at 9:16 am #

    Paul Ryan was such a bad pick that I don’t know of anything Romney can really do or say to undo that decision.

    • Taylor Marsh August 22, 2012 at 10:22 am #

      That’s certainly the conventional wisdom.

      As far as I’m concerned, Mitt Romney’s the biggest problem. No veep ever makes the difference.

      The problem is Mitt Romney. That’s what next week is about. And people want to change and vote for someone else, they now have to be convinced Mitt Romney is worth the gamble.

      • Marie205 August 22, 2012 at 4:38 pm #

        Taylor, I agree Romney is the biggest problem. Paul Ryan is small potatoes in the grand scheme of things. Even with mister Ryan sexist stance on women rights, he is not the head of the ticket. Voters very rarely decided their choice solely on the VP pick.

        Mitt Romney…will have to sale his ideas on a better and stronger America, next week to the general public.

        • Marie205 August 22, 2012 at 6:30 pm #

          Though I might add his pick of Ryan…has made me question his fitness to be President.

  2. Smooth Jazz August 22, 2012 at 10:56 am #

    “EVERYONE KNOWS IT and are waiting for it. Mitt Romney needs a baffo convention speech and an electric send off, because the very next week Barack Obama is up and then the opportunities narrow, with the debates looming next.”

    As I mentioned on your other thread, you LIberals are deluding yourselves falling for these Media polls that show Dems voting more than Reps by 10%+/-. Do you know what the Dem vs Rep vs Ind breakdown in this NBC poll? And you do realize that NBC is perfectly capable of juicing a poll with more Dems to boost Obama don’t you? Btw, how do you compare this poll to the Gallup & Rasmussen Daily Tracking polls with much bigger samples and more representative Demographics that show Romney winning. Also, multiple polls were just taken of WI & MI show Romney leading in both states; 4 – 5pts in Michigan. If Obama is losing in both WI & MI, your NBC poll showing him winning nationwide is bogus.

    I would strongly suggest you look at the internals of this or ANY other poll to make sure the sample size is not juiced to push a story line. For example, this “NBC” poll has Blacks voting for Obama 94-0. Obviously, Obama is going to get 90% of the Black Vote, but do you really believe that not a single African American is going to vote for Romney??

    I know we all look to polls biased in our favor to reinforce our own belief that our POV is taking hold and ruling the day. But be careful when looking at these NBC, Pew, CNN, Reuters, etc polls. They’ve been showing Dems voting versus Reps by 10%+. In 2008, a great yeat for Dems, that was Dems 7%. In 2012, with so many Reps energized to vote with Ryan on the ticket, I think it will be closer to Dem 35, Rep 33 and Ind 32. Any polls that have Dems at 10% versus Rep is not credible.

  3. Sasha August 22, 2012 at 11:34 am #

    You do realize that It was Tina Fey and NOT Sarah Palin that said, “I can see Russia from my backyard.”?
    ;-)

    • angels81 August 22, 2012 at 2:55 pm #

      You do realize Tina Fey is still famous and NOT Sarah whats her name?
      :mrgreen:

      • Sasha August 22, 2012 at 3:29 pm #

        ahhhh angels. I see fame is as important to you as it is to president kardashian…

        not me tho, as I am far too fab to be fame.

        fact still remains that she didn’t say it. : :lol:

        • secularhumanizinevoluter August 22, 2012 at 4:16 pm #

          The dipshit said she could see Russia from I believe it was her Kitchen window during the debate.

        • angels81 August 22, 2012 at 4:36 pm #

          Fame is not important to me, but it sure was for the griffter from Alaska. Unfortunately for her, her two minutes are up :mrgreen:

          • Sasha August 22, 2012 at 7:02 pm #

            and the celeb-in-chief’s 2 minutes will be up in November…

            :lol:

          • secularhumanizinevoluter August 22, 2012 at 8:42 pm #

            Mitt da Twit and Ayn Ryan in chief….has a sickly humorous lilt to it donchathink sash?

      • fairmindedindependent August 22, 2012 at 9:15 pm #

        Tina Fey is not as famous as she was either, I have to say. That happens in the world of celebrity what goes up must come down sometime.

  4. Ramsgate August 22, 2012 at 12:15 pm #

    Polls or no polls, I predict that Bubba Clinton will be unleashed in mid-September with his charm turned up to 11, because he wants back in the White House in 2016, even if it is as First Spouse. Charm-wise, Romney can’t even hold his own against Obama, but he will melt like a spider web under a blow torch against the former First Bubba.

    The 99% will finally have a champion.

    • Cujo359 August 22, 2012 at 2:35 pm #

      The 99% will finally have a champion.

      Who will that be? It certainly won’t be Bill Clinton. Yes, he liked to talk like a populist, but in the end, he was in favor of cutting Social Security, changed welfare in a way that neither helped the poor nor encouraged employment, and then he let the banks run wild. As with Obama, the disconnect between his words and his actions was vast, and that difference never worked in our favor.

  5. fangio August 22, 2012 at 3:47 pm #

    When you consider everything that has been revealed about Romney and Ryan I really don’t see 4% being all that much to brag about in late August.

    • Marie205 August 22, 2012 at 4:21 pm #

      When you consider what Obama is up against in 2012?…its amazing he is not losing by 20pts.

      • fangio August 22, 2012 at 5:08 pm #

        The only thing he is up against is himself and his lousy decisions. If he had done what he was expected to do he would not be in this position.

        • Marie205 August 22, 2012 at 6:26 pm #

          fangio….you just proved my point. The guy should be down…not up by any stretch over Romney in the polls…LOL

          Romney should be winning this thing with a blowout…if Obama was such a “horrible” president. But Romney team is spending most of this election…running away from releasing his taxes and now, the redefinition of rape as a platform for 2012.

          Anyway, I am not for Obama or Romney…both of these guys have serious issues…however, Romney picking a running mate that wishes strips away my reproductive rights…makes any sane person look for better options…then the current GOP ticket.

  6. secularhumanizinevoluter August 22, 2012 at 4:18 pm #

    Bottom line, in electoral college numbers he is kicking mitt da twit/Ayn Ryan’s asses.