At a time of rising gas prices, heightened talk of war with Iran and setbacks in Afghanistan, Mr. Obama’s approval rating dropped substantially in recent weeks, the poll found, with 41 percent of respondents expressing approval of the job he is doing and 47 percent saying they disapprove — a dangerous position for any incumbent seeking re-election.
Rising gas prices make people feel insecure about everything. People drive. A lot. All of a sudden the money you had for going out is eaten up and it pisses you off. Who are you going to blame? Vilifying Congress is so 2010.
There’s a reason the New York Times “threw up its hands,” which was Jonathan Chait’s appraisal, on trying to explain Obama’s poll drop to his lowest approval ever. Chait goes on to say that he believes the good jobs report and the narrative that things are getting better turned people sour, which is backed up by recent Democracy Corps polling that’s remarkable.
Claiming that “America is back” is by far the weakest operative message and produces disastrous results. It is weaker than even the weakest Republican message and is 10 points weaker in intensity than either Republican message. Overall, less than a third of all voters said this message makes them more likely to support the President and a third said this message made them less likely to support Barack Obama. Alarmingly, this message barely receives majority support among self-identified Democrats—and even less support among all other groups. Less than a quarter of independents say this message would make them more likely to support the President and no independents said that it would make them much more likely to support him.
We live in explosive times. People are touchy.
The bookend is Jeff Foxworthy playing sidekick to Mitt Romney helping bridge the stiff man gap in the south. Right now polls show Romney in a good position, as Jonathan Martin writes today, but I don’t think anybody has a clue.
Newt Gingrich railing about $2.50/gallon gas hit the zeitgeist among the fringe, but it’s unrelated to facts.
The Washington Post today, quoting experts on who’s to blame for gas prices:
Perhaps no politician has done more to put the onus on the president than Gingrich, who says he has a plan to reduce gas prices to $2.50 a gallon and offset the loss of output that might result from an attack on Iran, which exports about 2.5 million barrels of crude oil per day.
“There’s no way we could increase production that much,” said Verrastro of the CSIS. “But the facts be damned. It’s election season.”
Contrary to the right’s contention, Obama’s contraceptive mandate was a critical component to helping galvanize liberals and progressives, as well as some independents, because people are looking for reasons to support Pres. Obama. It’s been a difficult first term to watch on many levels.
Caution is required, as I wrote just yesterday:
Voters are fickle and people will start moving on how they feel, which is what voting is about. [...] … …no one should kid themselves. Women aren’t one-issue voters, with economic issues driving their reality more than ever before.
Pres. Obama still has the edge, if for no other reason than Mitt Romney is a horrendous political performer, with video to prove it, Rick Santorum is an extremist wacko, and Newt Gingrich… well, he’s a joke and his campaign is on life support even if he can’t face it.
Being honest takes humility.
Approving the Keystone XL pipeline, rejected by Obama with its current route and highlighted by Gingrich on Monday as a useful move, would not add to current oil supplies; it would only add to the excess pipeline capacity from Canada that is expected to last until 2016. – The Washington Post
That’s why the polls are all over the place, because watching the political news would make anybody insecure.
These people are running our country?
The cable yakkers need a rest and most pundits are running on fumes, left to grunt “mmhh,” “yeah,” just hoping to last to the break. They’ve got nothing left to add. Really.
We just need to find another word besides volatile.
But it’s why Obama needs his Super PACs, while telling Sen. Reid his members are on their own.
There’s nothing but ugly in sight.