Theresa May has survived – at least for now. On Sunday George Osborne said that “we could easily get to the middle of next week and it all collapses for her”. But from the moment we heard the reasonably hearty desk-banging as May arrived (see 5.07pm) it was clear that she was not facing an execution squad and, despite squandering a huge lead with the most inept campaign anyone can remember, it seems her MPs are willing to let her carry on in the short to medium term. Her performance seems to have made a good impression, although the broader political problems created for her by Thursday’s election result remain severe, and probably, in the long run, career-terminating. [The Guardian]
WHEN YOU look at the mistakes Hillary Clinton made in her campaign, then think about Theresa May‘s mistakes, it’s hard not to come to the conclusion that neither of these women had a clue what they were doing.
Clinton ran against an entertainment reality TV star with no political experience, but he found a message and she never could.
The U.K.’s Theresa May is not the experienced politician that Clinton was, but May’s calculation on having a vote last week turned into the biggest mistake of her career, and the conservatives want her head.
May even managed to make Jeremy Corbin look good.
Team Clinton wanted to rouse their base and didn’t reach out beyond the sure bets. It’s one reason she ran up the numbers along the coasts. She didn’t bother to make the case to outsiders.
As for May, she couldn’t have been more wrong about her position, which reveals an amateurism at the heart of her efforts.
At a gathering of senior staff in Conservative campaign headquarters in central London, one of May’s top operatives told the sitting prime minister that she risked crashing and burning like Sarah Palin did in 2008. […]
The Tories won 318 seats, 13 fewer than they started the campaign with and short of the 326 needed to command an outright majority in the House of Commons. Although May managed, in the immediate aftermath of the vote, to cling onto power with support from Northern Ireland’s Democratic Unionist Party, who won 10 seats, it was a disaster for her and her party — far closer to the “coalition of chaos” she warned would take over under Labour Leader Jeremy Corbyn than the “strong and stable” leadership she promised throughout the campaign. [Politico]
Contrast these two women against France’s Emmanuel Macron, who’s poised to win historic margins in the French parliament.
Macron’s party contested 526 constituencies out of a possible 577. His party put forward 266 women candidates, while 219 come from outside politics. He has drawn candidates from a cross-section of society, including a former bullfighter, a Nobel Prize winner and an ex-fighter pilot.
The move appears to have paid off as Macron’s party, which has grown out of his grass-roots movement, is projected to record a stunning victory.
May didn’t know what she was doing, didn’t delegate, and is on the last gasp of her career because of her decision.
Clinton is out of politics because no one inside her campaign could figure out how to win in the Electoral College, a reminder of the caucus catastrophe when she ran against Barack Obama in 2008.
France’s Macron turned campaigning upside down and is leading the same way on how it’s done now. Unconcerned about political purity, anyone who wants to make France great again is welcome to join.
And to throw a vital U.S. element into this pot… What will it mean for Democrats if Jon Ossoff prevails next week?
Some call the Georgia Democrat “a moderate Republican.” Others say he’s a serious progressive dressed up as a centrist. One thing’s for sure: Ossoff has become a Rorschach test for a desperate, divided party. [The New Republic]
Winning is what matters.