REPORTING HAS really shifted in the last days with reporting tilting towards Bernie Sanders now having the momentum. I don’t think anyone has a clue because I’ve participated in the Nevada caucuses and they’re nuts, but that’s the general consensus.
If you’re trying to figure out why since Clinton landed in Sin City so long ago read this piece by Annie Karni.
Think Progress dissects the dueling Hispanic argument with supporters on both sides making their case. It comes out pretty even, in my opinion.
From Larry Sabato’s “Crystal Ball” that’s very popular around here.
On the Democratic side, things look very different. While Hillary Clinton continues to hold the lead, based on the results of the most recent national polling she can no longer be considered the prohibitive favorite to win the Democratic nomination. However, whether Bernie Sanders can continue to cut into Clinton’s lead and become the frontrunner himself will probably depend on what happens in the next two tests for the Democrats — the Nevada caucuses on February 20 and the South Carolina primary on February 27.
[…] According to recent polling in South Carolina, Hillary Clinton is a strong favorite to win the Democratic primary — she currently leads by an average margin of more than 20 points. And based on the data in Table 2, a big win in South Carolina, especially if it follows a win in Nevada, could well restore Clinton’s lead in national polls to something closer to what it was before Iowa and New Hampshire and reestablish her position as the clear favorite to win the Democratic nomination. On the other hand, a relatively narrow win for Clinton in South Carolina, especially if it follows a loss in Nevada, would probably mean that the battle between Clinton and Sanders will be similar to the battle between Clinton and Obama in 2008 — protracted and nasty.
While Democratic drama plays out in Sin City, Donald Trump is expected to win South Carolina, regardless of polls showing the race tightening.
But the real news for me on the GOP side is “Cruz, Carson Held Secret Meeting About Dirty Tricks in a Closet.”
— Daniel Dale (@ddale8) February 20, 2016