There are currently two factions in American presidential politics: Those who are absolutely sure Jeb Bush will run for president in 2016 and those who are absolutely sure he won’t. – Mark Halperin
IF YOU DIDN’T understand it before, the debut of Mark Halperin and John Heilemann‘s Bloomberg politics project reveals what’s really on the minds of Republicans. It’s not 2014, as the handwringing over the 10-point lead of so-called independent in Kansas Greg Orman has turned GOP flop sweat into the Niagara Falls edition.
Failing to win the Senate is a far bigger loss for Republicans than keeping the upper chamber is to Democrats.
The midterms are a must for Republicans, as Reince Priebus confessed on Meet the Press to Chuck Todd. If Republicans don’t win the Senate it would be a disastrous loss for the party, Priebus said. What it sets up for 2016 is something political writers are already teeing up, with Bloomberg Politics serving up an example that is irrefutable in its conclusion.
Everyone knows the 2014 election cycle is but a blip in the future of American politics, which is poised on the lens of what Republicans can possibly due to combat the coming Clinton machine 2.0, powered by American women and male feminists who are backing our play.
Of course, there are few journalists that give progressives a bigger target than elite insider Mark Halperin. You’ll be unsurprised to hear I’m wholly uninterested in this serial drama. Having written the book on what establishment players do, which focused on Hillary Clinton’s media treatment in 2007-2008, it’s old news that access rules in the establishment press.
What is far more interesting is that Bloomberg’s debut of Mark Halperin and John Heilemann‘s politics coverage, which comes with a web TV version at 5:00 p.m. today, goes through the motions of covering the midterms, focusing on Scott Brown’s challenge to Jean Shaheen, but doesn’t really convince anyone that midterms matter to anyone but Republicans.
Bloomberg Politics acknowledges what I wrote about on Friday, the legacy of Pres. Obama is the judiciary.
However, in the end the 2014 midterms gets around to why Mark Halperin focused on whether Jeb Bush will run, and why Mitt Romney is the guest on the inaugural episode of “With All Due Respect.”
The battle for the soul and direction of the Republican Party has raged for several election cycles, and it won’t be settled by the 2014 midterm elections. But should Republicans take control of the Senate, the party leaders’ agenda will be illustrative of the possible way forward — as will the way potential 2016 presidential candidates respond to that agenda. – Phil Mattingly, Bloomberg Politics
What exactly is the Republican “agenda”?
Everyone is waiting to find out, because even Joe Scarborough admits that Republicans have no message. If they lose in their effort to take the Senate in November that reality will be proven conclusively and out of the rubble will have to emerge a leader to give Republicans purpose. Since they never look forward it makes sense to look back.
They’ll also have to grapple with Clinton, who is as establishment as it comes, but no one can make the case that electing the first female is looking back.
So, as much as progressive activists want you to believe that the midterms matter to Democrats and that the sky will fall if they lose the Senate, it’s nonsense.
President Obama has already made his mark on the judiciary, Obamacare is law and Republicans can’t take a program away from people without having an alternative plan, with the catch-22 here being that Americans don’t have the stomach for another stab at national health care.
Democrats looking to 2016 are chewing on leather waiting impatiently for another moment in politics to reach a second milestone. From the first black president to the first female candidate who has a chance of becoming commander in chief.
All Republicans have to match is Jeb Bush and Mitt Romney, with Kelly Ayotte hopscotching Fox News programs and hitting primary states hoping and praying she can become the anti-Sarah Palin on the next Republican ticket.
Come November 5th everyone will turn to 2016, and President Obama will have to get busy before January signing executive orders and enjoying what comes next. Nothing to lose in his remaining days, while he waits to hand the Democratic party back to the Clintons and the women of America.