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Another No Win Battle for Israel

DANGEROUS EVENTS unfolding between Israel, Hamas and the Palestinians in the Gaza Strip.

The assassination of Ahmed Said Khalil al-Jabari in a missile strike has set the situation on fire. It also set the internet aflame, with YouTube pulling the 10-second film of the vehicle explosion, while tweets on the subject landed in rapid fire succession, reported here.

As was reported on Foreign policy, al-Jabari’s killing was “a widespread campaign” to “protect Israeli civilians and to cripple the terrorist infrastructure,” according to Israeli Defense Force on Twitter. More from their article:

It is impossible to know how the conflict will unfold in the days ahead, but what is clear is that the outbreak of violence is the result of a swirl of events that are reshaping power structures within Hamas and its relationships with regional forces, including with Israel and the Palestinian Authority in the West Bank.

During most of the period since Cast Lead, the Hamas rulers in Gaza have refrained from attacks against Israel and tried to prevent other militant groups from launching attacks as well. But as 2012 has progressed, that policy has changed — largely due to internal transformations within the group itself.

The internal dynamic of Hamas has traditionally been that leaders in its Politburo, which is based almost entirely in neighboring Arab countries, were more militant than their compatriots inside Gaza. It was the leaders in exile who maintained close relations with the radical regimes in Iran and Syria, while the Hamas government in Gaza was more restrained because it had more to lose from violence with Israel.

That calculation has been inverted in recent months as Hamas’s foreign alliances have undergone a dramatic transformation and its domestic wing has made a bold attempt to assert its primacy.

[...] Make no mistake: Jaabari’s assassination is a major blow to Hamas’s military wing, which lost its long-standing leader. And even if this is the beginning of a “reformatting” of Gaza, Israel could once again end up winning the battle but losing the war: If it is not careful, developments on the Gaza battlefield could end up strengthening rather than weakening Hamas. Worse still, it could empower extreme, new Palestinian jihadist organizations that have begun to crop up in Gaza. The potential for miscalculation on all sides — bringing another round of mayhem that only makes matters worse for everyone — is grave.

It’s not just that there is a potential for miscalculation. It’s that miscalculations reign in this region.

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4 Responses to Another No Win Battle for Israel

  1. mjsmith November 16, 2012 at 9:27 am #

    Occupation. Occupation. Occupation. When wil Israel end its occupation of land that does not belong to them.

    I go to a Presbyterian Church and our Congregation liquidated all investments in companies that do business with Israel.

    At the National level the vote was 331in favor of boycotting all business with Israel to 333 against the boycott.

    Other Protestent Churches are moving towards boycotting all business with Israel.,_Divestment_and_Sanctions

    It is in the best interest of Israel to end all of its occupation of land that does not belong to them.

  2. mjsmith November 16, 2012 at 9:48 am #

    I guess if Netanyahu is not able to bomb Iran he hasto settle for bombing Palestine.
    I said on here in an earlier post that the close relationship between Netanyahu and Romney, the clear message Romeny said that he will go to war with Iran based on Netanyahu’s “red line” and wanted a $2 Trillion increase in military spending.

    It is hard to believe that 2 years ago Israel and Syria were in talks of a peace deal, when you look at what is going on today.

    I am all to aware of the routine pro-Israel response to their brutality “You should be mad and angry at the Arab dictators.”

    This typical attempt at deflection from their own heinous actions does not hold water. Pick the worst living conditions undet the very worst Arab dictatorship and look at the life of a person living under Israeli occupation. The idea that the Palestinians brought this brutallity against them on tyhemselves and they deserve it isa false and misleading as you can get.

  3. secularhumanizinevoluter November 18, 2012 at 8:57 am #

    ” Pick the worst living conditions undet the very worst Arab dictatorship and look at the life of a person living under Israeli occupation.”
    Are you actually attempting to justify Israel’s illegal occupation and barbaric treatment of the Palestinian people and territories by this ridiculous and nonfactual attempt at equation?!!!!!!!
    Your posts on this are so scattered and so schizophrenic as to be virtually incomprehensible.

  4. mjsmith November 18, 2012 at 11:34 pm #

    Sec I am Arab and am against the occupation

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