POLLING in Pennsylvania is showing a tight reelection race for Sen. Bob Casey, with very little margin for President Obama. This is a scenario we’ve heard before, but it rarely leads to PA going red, which hasn’t happened since 1988.


On Monday, an Allentown Morning Call/Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion poll showed Mr. Obama ahead 49 percent to 45 percent and Mr. Casey up only 41 percent to 39 percent. The poll 438 likely voters has a margin of error of plus or minus 5 points.

For state Republican Party chairman Rob Gleason, the polls affirmed the tightening races that the party’s pollster found weeks earlier. He credited Mr. Romney’s Oct. 3 strong debate performance for his surge.

Sen. Bob Casey is one of those Democrats who allows his religion to impact his voting where women are concerned.