IT’S THE one number ricocheting around the Romney campaign headquarters that is likely to be the most depressing. Only 23% of those polled by Pew believe Mitt Romney “connects with ordinary people.” Does anyone believe there is anything Mitt Romney can do to change this fact?
President Obama’s 43-point advantage on relating to ordinary people translates to an advantage that cannot be overestimated.
Mike Allen on “Morning Joe” revealed the extent to which Team Romney is relying on a late shift to their candidate, which they believe revolves around the debates. Allen said in a two-day period Mitt Romney did 5 mock debates, with Rob Portman playing Barack Obama. Portman is the former White House budget director for President George W. Bush, so that gives you a sense of the focus.
They also have to be assuming that Romney’s prep will throw Barack Obama off his stride and equalize Romney with the President, finally offering an alternative that people can choose.
One number you’ll also hear a lot out of Romney supporters, trying to keep their base from bolting after all this bad polling news, is that 14-point lead Carter had over Reagan in 1980, with the Gipper going on to beat Carter by a landslide, creating the “Reagan Democrat” who helped make it possible. The problem is no one believes Mitt Romney can peel off Democrats to make a mirror image a reality. It’s just not a believable goal.
The latest Pew numbers come after a slew of polling, particularly in battleground states, showing Mitt Romney in an Electoral College hole.