Obama Gains in Final Register Poll

It’s Obama by seven.

Obama was the choice of 32 percent of likely Democratic
caucusgoers, up from 28 percent in the Register’s last poll in late November,
while Clinton, a New York senator, held steady at 25 percent
and Edwards, a former North Carolina senator, was virtually unchanged
at 24 percent

Iowa Poll: Obama widens lead over Clinton

This has got to hurt the Edwards camp, especially with the other polls saying
their candidate was surging. Clinton holds steady.

Maybe Obama’s negative ads and campaigning have taken hold. People say they hate them, but they
work. Sargent’s got Obama’s
latest negative radio ad

To add, notice this section of the article:

Obama’s rise is the result in part of a dramatic influx of first-time caucusgoers, including a sizable bloc of political independents. Both groups prefer the Illinois senator in what has been a very competitive campaign.

Shorter: people who don’t know any better Okay, maybe too much snark? So let’s just say people who don’t know policy details and are non Democrats. Yepsen has a good analysis though, so read it.